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Action Insight Weekly Report

Posted by cvbasheer on January 31, 2010

Risk Aversion Dominated Jan, More Upside in Dollar and Yen in Feb
January turned out to be a month dominated by risk aversion as we’ve seen broad based selloff in yen crosses.
Euro was hardest hit on concern in Greece’s fiscal heath, with EUR/JPY down -6.45%. New Zealand dollar was secondly worst performer after disappointment inflation data and was down -6.39% in January. Even the relatively resistance AUD/JPY, which was supported by strong data from Australia, was down -4.61%. A couple of factors, including sovereign rating concerns in some countries in Eurozone, more tightening measures from China and US Obama’s bank plans would continue to weigh on market sentiments going forward.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EURUSD’s decline extended further as expected and reached as low as 1.3861 last week. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and further fall should be seen to next key cluster support at 1.3737. On the upside, above 1.3989 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited by 1.4193 resistance and bring fall resumption.


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